Week 2 slate
Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ETSoldier Field, ChicagoDivisionalFinal
Vikings
MIN · 1-0
9
Final
Bears
CHI · 1-0
3
Final
Model missed
Spread
CHI -4.5
Moneyline
MIN +170 / CHI -205
Total
O/U 47.5
Weather
67.3°F · 17.7 mph · Rain, Overcast
Venue
Soldier Field · Chicago
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
MIN 9 / CHI 3
From the booth
The model favored CHI to win, and the call missed.
The Bears are favored here and they should be, sitting at 60 percent to win this one. Chicago's got the injury advantage working in their favor, and the betting market likes what it sees at home, but here's the thing, the Vikings have been taking better care of the football lately and they're actually the more talented team on paper with that Elo edge. This figures to be a tight NFC North battle, but the home field and health give the Bears a slight leg up in what should be a fun one.
Why the model leans CHI
- Favors Bears: CHI+0.07Betting-market win probability
- Favors Bears: CHI+0.05Overall injury burden
- Favors Vikings: MINTurnover differential, last 3 games