Week 2 slate
Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ETGillette Stadium, FoxboroughFinal
Steelers
PIT · 1-0
3
Final
Patriots
NE · 0-1
20
Final
Model missed
Spread
NE -5.5
Moneyline
PIT +190 / NE -230
Total
O/U 41.5
Weather
59.5°F · 6.3 mph · Rain, Overcast
Venue
Gillette Stadium · Foxborough
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
PIT 3 / NE 20
From the booth
The model favored PIT to win, and the call missed.
Well, the Steelers come into Foxborough as slight favorites at 53 percent, and that turnover battle's been working in Pittsburgh's favor lately. New England's got the home-field advantage and the Vegas spread backing them up a bit, but that defense has been leaking yards the last five games and that's a real problem against a Steelers offense. This one's basically a toss-up, folks, but Pittsburgh's ball security and New England's defensive struggles give the road team a slight edge in what should be a physical AFC East matchup.
Why the model leans PIT
- Favors Patriots: NE+0.06Betting-market win probability
- Favors Steelers: PIT+0.04Turnover differential, last 3 games
- Favors Steelers: PITDefensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games