Week 3 slate
Week 3Thu, Sep 24 · 8:15 PM ETLambeau Field, GreenbayPrime timeFinal
Falcons
ATL · 0-2
35
Final
Packers
GB · 1-1
14
Final
Model missed
Spread
GB -4.5
Moneyline
ATL +200 / GB -245
Total
O/U 42.5
Weather
61.8°F · 4.7 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Lambeau Field · Greenbay
Kickoff
Thu, Sep 24 · 8:15 PM ET
Final
ATL 35 / GB 14
From the booth
The model favored GB to win, and the call missed.
The Packers are favored in this one, sitting at a 62 percent win probability at home in Green Bay. The betting markets like them here, and their Elo rating gives them a clear edge over Atlanta. The Falcons have got some injury concerns working against them, but they're catching the Packers at a point in the season where Atlanta's got a little momentum on their side. Still, this one's Green Bay's to lose on their home field.
Why the model leans GB
- Favors Packers: GB+0.07Betting-market win probability
- Favors Falcons: ATL+0.03Point in the season
- Favors Packers: GB+0.03Team rating (Elo) edge