Week 3 slate
Week 3Sun, Sep 27 · 8:20 PM ETEmpower Field at Mile High, DenverPrime timeFinal
Rams
LAR · 1-1
26
Final
Broncos
DEN · 1-1
30
Final
Model missed
Spread
LAR -2.5
Moneyline
LAR -130 / DEN +110
Total
O/U 43.5
Weather
78°F · 10.3 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Empower Field at Mile High · Denver
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 27 · 8:20 PM ET
Final
LAR 26 / DEN 30
From the booth
The model favored LAR to win, and the call missed.
The Rams are favored in Denver, and they've got this thing at 64 percent to win. LA's been playing better football lately, their defense has been stingy over the last five games, and the betting market is backing them in a big way. The Broncos are sitting at 36 percent, and they're gonna need their offense to step up because they haven't been as explosive as they need to be to keep pace in this one.
Why the model leans LAR
- Favors Rams: LAR+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Rams: LAR+0.04Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games
- Favors Rams: LAR+0.04Betting-market win probability