Week 4 slate
Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ETMetLife Stadium, East RutherfordFinal
Cardinals
ARI · 1-2
24
Final
Giants
NYG · 2-1
36
Final
Model missed
Spread
ARI -2.5
Moneyline
ARI -135 / NYG +114
Total
O/U 44.5
Weather
62.4°F · 8.2 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
ARI 24 / NYG 36
From the booth
The model favored ARI to win, and the call missed.
The Cardinals hit the road to MetLife looking to stop the bleeding after losing 2 straight, while the Giants have won 2 of their last 3. Arizona's offense is rolling at 21 points a game, but the defense has been a sieve at 27 allowed. Our model gives the Cardinals a slim edge at 55%, and Vegas agrees, laying 2.5 on Arizona. The market's confidence in the Cardinals' defense and point differential are the key leans here, even in messy weather.
Why the model leans ARI
- Favors Cardinals: ARI+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Cardinals: ARI+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Cardinals: ARI+0.04Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games