Week 4 slate
Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ETLincoln Financial Field, PhiladelphiaFinal
Rams
LAR · 1-2
24
Final
Eagles
PHI · 2-1
20
Final
Model called it
Spread
LAR -3.5
Moneyline
LAR -180 / PHI +150
Total
O/U 42.5
Weather
62.5°F · 8.6 mph · Overcast
Venue
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
LAR 24 / PHI 20
From the booth
The model favored LAR to win, and the call landed.
The Eagles just got torched by the Bears, but the Rams are favored in the market at home. Our model backs the Rams at 61%, right in line with Vegas laying 3.5 on Los Angeles. Philadelphia's missing Brown and Smith at receiver while the Rams lose Aaron Donald up front, but Los Angeles has been the steadier team lately on both sides of the ball.
Why the model leans LAR
- Favors Rams: LAR+0.10Betting-market win probability
- Favors Rams: LAR+0.06Vegas point spread
- Favors Eagles: PHI+0.02Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games