Week 4 slate
Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ETM&T Bank Stadium, BaltimoreFinal
Titans
TEN · 0-3
18
Final
Ravens
BAL · 2-1
24
Final
Model called it
Spread
BAL -11.5
Moneyline
TEN +500 / BAL -700
Total
O/U 41.5
Weather
63.1°F · 7.6 mph · Rain, Overcast
Venue
M&T Bank Stadium · Baltimore
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
TEN 18 / BAL 24
From the booth
The model favored BAL to win, and the call landed.
The Ravens are rolling at 2-1 and just beat the Cowboys 34-31, while the Titans are winless at 0-3 and have lost 3 straight. Baltimore's model is way up at 78%, well ahead of where Vegas sees this one laying 11.5 points. The market and the point differential both back the Ravens, who are averaging 30.7 points over their last 3 games against Tennessee's struggling 12.3.
Why the model leans BAL
- Favors Ravens: BAL+0.09Betting-market win probability
- Favors Ravens: BAL+0.08Vegas point spread
- Favors Ravens: BAL+0.03Point differential, last 5 games