Week 5 slate
Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ETLambeau Field, GreenbayDivisionalFinal
Bears
CHI · 3-1
7
Final
Packers
GB · 2-2
31
Final
Model missed
Spread
CHI -1.5
Moneyline
CHI -122 / GB +102
Total
O/U 46.5
Weather
73°F · 14.6 mph · Clear
Venue
Lambeau Field · Greenbay
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Final
CHI 7 / GB 31
From the booth
The model favored CHI to win, and the call missed.
NFC North showdown at Lambeau, and the Bears come in hot at 3-1 with 2 straight wins. Green Bay sits 2-2 after beating the Buccaneers on the road, but Chicago's defense has been stingy, allowing just 9.3 points per game over the last 3. Our model leans Bears at 54%, agreeing with a market that's got them favored by 1.5 on the road.
Why the model leans CHI
- Favors Bears: CHI+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors Bears: CHI+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Packers: GB+0.02Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games