Week 5 slate
Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ETState Farm Stadium, GlendaleFinal
Lions
DET · 2-2
45
Final
Cardinals
ARI · 1-3
21
Final
Model called it
Spread
DET -5.5
Moneyline
DET -250 / ARI +205
Total
O/U 54.5
Weather
Dome · controlled
Venue
State Farm Stadium · Glendale
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET
Final
DET 45 / ARI 21
From the booth
The model favored DET to win, and the call landed.
Sunday afternoon, the Lions visit the Cardinals at State Farm Stadium in Glendale in this NFC matchup. Our model gives the Lions 65% and the Cardinals 35%. The Lions are favored by 5.5 points in the betting market. The Lions are 2-2 and lost to the Panthers 32-26 on the road last time out, while the Cardinals are 1-3 and have lost 3 straight.
Why the model leans DET
- Favors Lions: DET+0.13Betting-market win probability
- Favors Lions: DET+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Cardinals: ARI+0.02Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games